Check out these developing real estate trends that could continue to change how investors participate in the real estate market, and the best strategies for balancing risk and reward.
Developers Kicking Out Pre-Construction Buyers
Just as we saw in the run up to 2008, big real estate developers are again finding ways to pull contracts from buyers as prices have risen during the building period. With prices up some 20% or more, builders see a great opportunity to back out of contracts with pre-construction investors, and then try to resell units at new market highs. This is a huge burn to those investors who took a chance on them. Investors who will be looking elsewhere for deals with their capital.
Construction Material Costs Rising
The dramatic inflation over the past year hasn’t just been limited to groceries. A surge in home repairs, remodeling, building and emergency maintenance has driven up the price of construction materials as well. Walk around your local Lowes or Home Depot and you may find some line items are priced at 2-3x what they cost last year. This can be quite a shock to rehabbers when they go to pick up materials for a new deal they just bought and find the numbers no longer work. Expect this to encourage more investors to stick to wholesaling real estate and wholesaling direct to end retail buyers.
Extended Eviction Ban
The new white house administration recently extended the national eviction ban at least through to July 2021. While many landlords may still be surviving on multiple layers of government stimulus, these unprecedented measures have certainly changed everything they thought they knew about the security of passive income assets. Many will liquidate their rental portfolios. Others may switch to shorter term investing strategies that don’t rely on tenants.
Housing Inventory Shortages
While there are many commercial buildings which are now ripe for being converted into housing, many markets are finding they are currently suffering major inventory shortages. Florida in particular saw listing inventory drop around 50% in 2020. Many markets only have 4-7 weeks of inventory. This in turn is driving up prices fast, with intense bidding wars common. While this demand remains strong, expect prices to keep surging until they become unsustainable.
Ongoing Lockdowns & Restrictions
Ongoing restrictions in some states, along with rising taxes and increased demand for single family homes instead of apartments and condos is likely to continue to drive moving and buying activity. This will fuel great leaps in prices in target cities, while alleviating inventory shortages where people are leaving.
All put together these trends suggest that real estate wholesaling will offer even better risk-reward balance through 2021. It offers high short term returns, and far less exposure to the risks plaguing other strategies. All with plenty of leverage available.
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